Oscars 2011 Predictions


Here are my predictions for the 2011 Oscars. Predicted winners in Italics Bold.

BEST PICTURE

  • Black Swan
  • The Fighter
  • Inception
  • The Kids Are All Right
  • The King’s Speech
  • 127 Hours
  • The Social Network
  • Toy Story 3
  • True Grit
  • Winter’s Bone

Actress in Leading Role

  • Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
  • Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
  • Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
  • Natalie Portman, Black Swan
  • Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine

Actor in a Leading Role

  • Javier Bardem, Biutiful
  • Jeff Bridges, True Grit
  • Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
  • Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
  • James Franco, 127 Hours

Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Amy Adams, The Fighter
  • Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
  • Melissa Leo, The Fighter
  • Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
  • Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom

Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Christian Bale, The Fighter
  • John Hawkes, Winter’s Bone
  • Jeremy Renner, The Town
  • Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
  • Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech

Directing

  • Black Swan, Darren Aronofsky
  • The Fighter, David. O. Russell
  • The King’s Speech, Tom Hooper
  • The Social Network, David Fincher
  • True Grit, Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

  • Another Year
  • The Fighter
  • Inception
  • The Kids Are All Right
  • The King’s Speech

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

  • 127 Hours
  • The Social Network
  • Toy Story 3
  • True Grit
  • Winter’s Bone

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

  • How to Train Your Dragon
  • The Illusionist
  • Toy Story 3

Documentary (Feature)

  • Exit Through the Gift Shop
  • Gasland
  • Inside Job
  • Restrepo
  • Waste Land

Art Direction

  • Alice In Wonderland
  • Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
  • Inception
  • The King’s Speech
  • True Grit

Cinematography

  • Black Swan
  • Inception
  • The King’s Speech
  • The Social Network
  • True Grit

Visual Effects

  • Alice In Wonderland
  • Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
  • Hereafter
  • Inception
  • Iron Man 2

Sound Editing

  • Inception
  • Toy Story 3
  • Tron: Legacy
  • True Grit
  • Unstoppable

SOUND MIXING

  • Inception
  • The King’s Speech
  • Salt
  • The Social Network
  • True Grit
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13 responses to “Oscars 2011 Predictions

  1. You better be right! I am going with this list at an office contest very soon !!

    Muhahahahahaha

    • Hehe…im dead sure about some of the categories…and for others iv made some intelligent guesses….lets see how many of them i get right….best of luck for ur contest!! πŸ™‚

  2. most of the predictions he is right , for ex : you cannot give best sound mixing to say social network or king’s speech .. you have to give it for inception

  3. Very interesting, ulag! So you think Annette can inch out Natalie for the win, eh?

    • Yeah. And this is not based on the merits of their performance or anything. Though all the buzz supports Natalie, I think the Academy will make her wait and throw a surprise by awarding Annette. One of the things the academy is trying is, to be less predictable, which is why they advanced their show by a whole month. Also, I feel that the academy will think that Natalie is still a young star and that she should be awarded an oscar at a later stage in her career. Ofcourse, they havent always followed this principle, but I just have a feeling that they would do that this year. Its just a hunch! πŸ™‚

  4. I’ll be interested to see how many of these you’re right about – Bening over Portman, for example, is definitely a risk, or editing (since it usually goes to the best picture winner). Do you adjust your predictions after SAG or the BAFTAs?

    • Bening over Portman is a calculated risk im taking. Im assuming the Academy will not want to come out as predictable and it’ll possibly throw in a surprise upset here by going for Bening. Its just a hunch i have. I haven’t listed film editing. Only sound editing, which i feel inception should take. I think Inception will be the major winner of the night sweeping a good chunk of the technical awards.

      And no, I won’t be modifying this list after the SAG or BAFTA. This list will be frozen till Oscar night.

  5. jurassigothinthecity

    Good to have you over at The Jurassigoth’s place, ulag!

    First, I did want to clear up a little misunderstanding. You wrote, “One of the things the academy is trying is, to be less predictable, which is why they advanced their show by a whole month.”
    Actually, AMPAS moved up the televised ceremonies by a month in order to cut down on the campaigning and increase the chances that Academy voters would make their choices based on merit. Academy voters are industry professionals, and they don’t always have time to see the movies in the theater. Hence, the emergence of the screeners-DVD’s of newly- or un-released films given only to voters. AMPAS felt that the campaigning that starts in late November and continues until the ceremony was unduly influencing votes. Big movies with big marketing budgets could spend on flyers and special screenings. It was (sometimes still is) overshadowing high-quality indie films that didn’t/don’t have the same scratch.

    As for Academy voters wanting to be unpredictable, I’m going to disagree with that. I think any unpredictability is a happy side-effect of voters truly choosing who they think is the best in their category. I’m a screenwriter, and from that point of view, the best script in the categories will sometimes be vastly different from what my non-industry friends like.

    As for the rest of it, I hope you’ll pop over for my other posts about it as the day gets closer. Please believe I will definitely have more to say once I’ve seen most of the films! **Heh-heh**

    • Thanks for your insights. Coming from someone associated with the industry your arguments do hold a lot of water. However, when I followed the Oscar buzz for the last 2 years, the point made was, since the awards season started in January and went on till March-end, there was a lot of predictability in the ceremony. For eg. last year Sandra Bullock and Monique swept all the awards they were nominated for, virtually assuring themselves of an Oscar win. Hence when the Oscar ceremony did come, there was little surprise over who would take home the statute in their categories. It was to offset such predictability that the Oscars were planned to be advanced by a month from this year. Atleast, this was what was reported in the Media.

      Its true that the Academy voters would have a different perspective on the nominees than non-industry folk. But when it comes to two strong contenders like Annette Bening and Natalie Portman, both having been lauded for their performances and having equal chances of winning, a small swing in either direction will make a difference. The academy has often shown its penchant for voting for the underdog. As you yourself have mentioned, a lot in the Oscars is about influence and lobbying.

  6. i hope natalie wins πŸ˜€

    and yea.. its bit sad that toy story 3 and how to train your dragon came in the same year (can be said abt a lot of movies).. both are excellent movies and probably both deserved to win… but it’ll be toy story’s night.

    (and no.. i’m purely wishing/guessing… i haven’t seen/completely seen any of those movies)

    • Yeah Natalie is everyone’s pick to win the Oscars this time. And Toy Story 3 has even been nominated for a best picture Oscar while How To Train…hasn’t been. So that more than anything gives it away.

  7. I’ve got to say, I agree with this list. However, my pick is on Exit Through The Gift Shop to win Best Documentary, not Restrepo.
    Keep on rocking,
    -Quinn Bailey

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